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Inflation, Exchange Rate Will Decline In 2024 – CBN
The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, said on Thursday that inflationary trends and exchange rates will be on a downward spiral in 2024.
The apex bank also said it has projected less revenue from oil exports in the fiscal year, just as it declared that total trade from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market, NFEM, stood at N18.804 billion in the third quarter (Q3) of 2023.
The Central Bank Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, stated this when he appeared before the Senate and House of Representatives Joint Committee on Banking, Insurance, and Other Financial Institutions.
Cardoso said the outlook for the domestic economy in Nigeria for 2024 is very positive, as both the inflation and exchange rates would withstand fluctuating pressures and get stabilised.
“The outlook for the domestic economy remains positive and is expected to maintain a positive trajectory for 2024. Inflation pressures may persist in the short term but are expected to decline in 2024.
“Exchange rate pressures are also expected to reduce significantly with the smooth functioning of the foreign exchange market,” he said.
According to him, the unification of the exchange rate windows in June 2023 has ushered in a new approach to the management of the exchange rate, aimed at reducing arbitrary rent-seeking behaviour and speculation in the market.
“The policy aims at creating a market where the demand and supply of foreign exchange determine the exchange rate. The premium has narrowed and our focus on increasing the autonomous FX supply would lead to more stability and further narrowing of the premium,” he said.
He further stated: “Total trade in the third quarter of 2023 stood at N18.804.68 billion. Exports were valued at N10.346.60 billion, while total imports stood at N8.457.68 billion. This represents a positive trade balance, which would lead to an increase of the external reserves.”
He, however, stated that due to domestic prevailing factors, less revenues would be earned from oil exports in 2024.
He said: “We expect less revenue from oil exports due to the production limit of 1.78 mbpd in 2024. The OPEC-approved quota for Nigeria is 1.8 mbpd, which is higher than the 2024 budget assumption.”
Earlier, before the CBN Governor’s presentation, the chairman of the joint committee, Senator Tokunbo Abiru, said the interactive session was organised for a statutory briefing by CBN in line with extant laws.
The co-chairman of the committee, Hon Bashir Bello El-Rufai, in his remarks, commended the CBN governor and the entire management team on measures being put in place to stabilise the economy generally.
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I Delivered $15m Agency Cash To Ex-NIMASA DG Akpobolokemi, EFCC Witness Tells Court
A prosecution witness, Captain Ezekiel Bala-Agaba, testified in a Lagos Federal High Court on Thursday, that he personally delivered $15 million in cash to former NIMASA DG, Patrick Akpobolokemi.
The witness, Bala-Agaba, a former Executive Director of Maritime Safety, Shipping Development and Marine Operations at NIMASA, made the disclosure while testifying before Justice Ayokunle Faji of the Federal High Court in Lagos.
Captain Agaba, who appeared as the 15th prosecution witness, told the court that funds meant for pipeline surveillance were withdrawn from NIMASA’s accounts, converted into dollars, and handed over to Dr Akpobolokemi.
According to him, the money was taken to a Bureau de Change, which converted it into $15 million before the cash was delivered to the NIMASA office on Burma Road, Apapa, Lagos.
He said he subsequently took the money to the office of the then Director-General.
“The money was sent to a Bureau de Change, which later brought the dollar equivalent to our office at Burma Road, Apapa, Lagos. I asked my Personal Assistant, Ekene Nwakuche, to carry the bag and follow me to the Director-General’s office,” he told the court.
The witness explained that he collected the bag from his aide before entering the office.
“When we got to the door of the Director-General’s office, I collected the bag from him and asked him to wait outside. I then personally delivered the sum of $15 million to the Director-General.”
The witness was initially a defendant in the case but later opted to testify for the prosecution.
While being led in evidence by prosecuting counsel, Suleiman Suleiman, he explained the chain of command within NIMASA and how financial approvals were processed in the agency.
According to him, the Director-General is the overall head of the agency and issues instructions to directors, who then implement policies in line with the NIMASA Act.
He told the court that he chaired the agency’s Intelligence Committee, which was responsible for certain security-related operations.
“As chairman of the committee, I oversaw its activities and reported directly to the Director-General, Dr. Patrick Akpobolokemi,” he said.
During the proceedings, the witness was also shown a document containing a letter from Access Bank to the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) detailing transactions in NIMASA’s accounts between 2013 and 2015.
When asked how much money he took to the former Director-General, Agaba replied: “$15 million.”
After listening to the testimony, Justice Faji adjourned the matter until April 22 and 23 for cross-examination of the witness.
The EFCC had in December 2015 arraigned Dr. Akpobolokemi and seven others before the court on a 30-count charge bordering on conspiracy, fraudulent conversion of funds and money laundering.
Those charged alongside the former NIMASA boss include, Warredi Enisuoh, Governor Juan, Ugo Frederick, Timi Alari, as well as Alkenzo Limited and Penniel Engineering Services Limited.
They pleaded not guilty to the offences.
The anti-graft agency alleged that the defendants conspired to divert funds running into over N1.15 billion under the guise of providing security intelligence in Nigeria’s maritime domain.
According to the EFCC, the NIMASA Intelligence Committee allegedly received N1,153,000,000 between December 2013 and July 2015.
Investigations further revealed that several companies contracted to execute the intelligence operations were either unregistered or lacked the capacity to perform the services, while some were allegedly linked to the defendants.
The prosecution also alleged that the defendants nominated or owned many of the companies used to execute the contracts.
One of the charges stated that the defendants conspired to commit offences punishable under the Money Laundering (Prohibition) Act, 2012.
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CBN Bars Chronic Loan Defaulters from Accessing New Banking Services
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a directive to all financial institutions to immediately restrict certain banking services for large-ticket borrowers with non-performing loans (NPLs).
This move is aimed at strengthening credit discipline and protecting the stability of the Nigerian financial system following a rise in the industry’s NPL ratio to approximately 7%, exceeding the regulatory 5% threshold.
This order is specifically targeted at large-ticket obligors.
The CBN issued the directive in a circular to banks on Monday.
The latest instruction comes almost a week after the CBN asked financial institutions to stress test.
It is uncertain if the two directives are connected or what may have triggered the loan-related instruction, but the apex bank said it furthers its mandate to protect Nigeria’s financial system.
“In furtherance of its mandate to promote a sound financial system, protect depositors, and enhance prudential compliance within the banking sector, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) hereby directs all banks to restrict non-performing large ticket obligors, whose activities pose systemic risk to the financial system, from accessing specified banking services,” the circular reads in part.
“Any large-ticket obligor with a non-performing facility recorded in the CRMS and/or any licensed private credit bureau shall not be granted additional credit facilities. For the purpose of this restriction, credit facilities include loans and other forms of direct credit.
“In addition, such obligors shall not be granted banking facilities or contingent liabilities such as bankers’ confirmations, letters of credit, performance bonds, or advance payment guarantees.”
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Makinde Only In PDP Because He’s Not Seeking Re-election – Otitoju
Babajide Kolade-Otitoju, the Director of News at TVC News, recently stated that Oyo State Governor Seyi Makinde would likely have defected from the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) if he was still serving his first term.
Otitoju stated this on Friday on TVC’s ‘Breakfast Show’.
He described the National Convention of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, in Ibadan last November as a mere waste of time.
“People must show good judgment at a critical phase. What was the point of having that convention? Two courts told you not to go ahead but you went ahead.
“I may not be a fan of former Senate President Bukola Saraki but if he says something that makes sense, I will be the first to admit it. He made sense when he said let’s go for caretaker. What’s the point of not listening to him?
“Later you will be shouting that the ruling party is behind your crisis, meanwhile you are the architect of your own misfortunes. You created this problem.
“If Makinde were in his first term, he would have fled like the dancing governor because his second term would have been in danger,” Otitoju said.
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